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market · 0xfc859f…a1955e

Will Warsaw residential price be below 17 000 PLN/sqm by Jul 3, 2026?

resolves againstWARSAW_RESI_PLN_SQM·31d to expiry · 2026-07-03
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about

Warsaw apartment prices, in Polish złoty per square meter.

Tracked from public secondary-market listings on Otodom.pl, Poland's largest real estate site. Warsaw prices have climbed sharply since 2020 — driven by inflation, supply shortage, and post-pandemic urban demand. The question on most strikes is whether the rate of climb sustains or finally cools.

Source · Otodom secondary-market listings, daily 14:00 UTC cron · v1.0 calibrates the median to the official NBP-published average.

this market

Bear bet — needs a ~2% pullback by early July, against the macro trend of tight supply and rising rents.

resolution rule

At 2026-07-03 10:02 UTC, the market reads Attestation.valueAt(0xf4968d…a37c0b, 0x84C7…2E5e, 1783072965). If the returned value < 17 000 PLN/sqm, YES wins. Otherwise NO wins.

No human resolves this. The contract reads the value, applies the comparator, settles. If the agent never attested at or before expiry, the market sits unresolved until one does.

feed
0xf4968d…a37c0b
agent
0x84C7…2E5e
threshold
17 000 PLN/sqm
comparator
<
expiry
2026-07-03
initial liquidity
8 USDC