Will Polish CPI exceed 4.00% by Jul 1, 2026?
Poland's official year-over-year consumer price inflation.
Published monthly by GUS (Główny Urząd Statystyczny), Poland's central statistics office. One of Europe's most volatile inflation readings — peaked above 18% in early 2023, then fell sharply under tight monetary policy from the National Bank of Poland (NBP). NBP targets 2.5% ± 1pp; ECB area target is 2%. Each monthly print can swing markets by 25–50 bp.
Source · GUS monthly inflation report, agent re-publishes daily 14:00 UTC.
Near-the-line. Current reading is 4.10%; one CPI release between now and expiry decides it either way.
At 2026-07-01 00:01 UTC, the market reads Attestation.valueAt(0x82f8fd…4e84f4, 0x84C7…2E5e, 1782864074). If the returned value > 400 %, YES wins. Otherwise NO wins.
No human resolves this. The contract reads the value, applies the comparator, settles. If the agent never attested at or before expiry, the market sits unresolved until one does.